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Talk:Population Bomb (move): Difference between revisions
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I think that the math used to calculate the accuracy is wrong. For 1 to 9 hits, the math used doesn't assume every hit is consecutive. It takes into consideration that misses can be within the combo, which can't happen. The math should be to multiply 90% by the number of hits. Hitting 7 times in a row would be 0.9^7 or about 47.83%. This is how 10 hits in a row is calculated, too, giving it its accurate 34.87% chance. [[User:Zecke|Zecke]] ([[User talk:Zecke|talk]]) 02:23, 19 April 2023 (UTC) | I think that the math used to calculate the accuracy is wrong. For 1 to 9 hits, the math used doesn't assume every hit is consecutive. It takes into consideration that misses can be within the combo, which can't happen. The math should be to multiply 90% by the number of hits. Hitting 7 times in a row would be 0.9^7 or about 47.83%. This is how 10 hits in a row is calculated, too, giving it its accurate 34.87% chance. [[User:Zecke|Zecke]] ([[User talk:Zecke|talk]]) 02:23, 19 April 2023 (UTC) | ||
:I may be wrong on some things but the numbers just don't make sense to me. [[User:Zecke|Zecke]] ([[User talk:Zecke|talk]]) 02:24, 19 April 2023 (UTC) | :I may be wrong on some things but the numbers just don't make sense to me. [[User:Zecke|Zecke]] ([[User talk:Zecke|talk]]) 02:24, 19 April 2023 (UTC) | ||
:A friend of mine discovered [https://trevorsquires.com/assets/content/pop_bomb_calculations.pdf a paper by Trevor Squires] concerning the probabilities of PB. After going over this with friends who are much better at math that I am, this does check out as a ~31% chance for all 10 hits with the average amount of hits being 5-6. [[User:Helix.OS|helix.OS]] ([[User talk:Helix.OS|talk]]) 22:03, 11 April 2024 (UTC) | |||