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Talk:Pokéwalker: Difference between revisions
→Dowsing Probabilities: Nope middle tufts are better.
Beligaronia (talk | contribs) (→Dowsing Probabilities: Nope middle tufts are better.) |
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== Dowsing Probabilities == | == Dowsing Probabilities == | ||
Others I spoke to--and even myself--originally thought that the leftmost or rightmost grass tufts had better chances (when taking second pick into account), but I did the probabilistic math and it turns out that no matter which tuft you pick, your second pick choice will always give you the same opportunity. If that's not making sense; basically there's no difference in your overall chance of finding an item between ''any'' of the grass tufts. All assuming completely random item placement, of course. I can post the detailed math if anyone's interested. I know it's not really important, but it seems to be a point of confusion among people I've spoken to. Might be worth clearing it up in the argticle.. - [[User:Exawatt|Exawatt]] 19:41, 14 April 2010 (UTC) | Others I spoke to--and even myself--originally thought that the leftmost or rightmost grass tufts had better chances (when taking second pick into account), but I did the probabilistic math and it turns out that no matter which tuft you pick, your second pick choice will always give you the same opportunity. If that's not making sense; basically there's no difference in your overall chance of finding an item between ''any'' of the grass tufts. All assuming completely random item placement, of course. I can post the detailed math if anyone's interested. I know it's not really important, but it seems to be a point of confusion among people I've spoken to. Might be worth clearing it up in the argticle.. - [[User:Exawatt|Exawatt]] 19:41, 14 April 2010 (UTC) | ||
:Having worked it out myself, the probability of finding an item for the end most tufts are actually 1/2 compared to 2/3 for the 4 middle tufts. Therefore it is better to take the middle tufts. Sorry this is so unclear. Will post a more detailed argument later.--[[User:Beligaronia|Beligaronia]] ([[User talk:Beligaronia|talk]]) 21:34, 14 April 2010 (UTC) | |||